Today’s New York Times has an article on Nate Silver, the fivethirtyeight.com guy. It talks about how he predicted Obama would win the democratic nomination and 833 Super-Tuesday delegates at a time when Clinton was up by 20 percantage points in the polls. Obama actually won 848 delegates on Super-Tuesday.
Archive for November, 2008
Here’s a cool site that forecasts election results using regression and simulation techniques. Note that many of the percentages you will see on the site are probabilities of winning, rather than percentages of the vote. The site is http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/